This afternoon, surface high pressure has slid over the area, with a strong trough over New England. With the high pressure overhead and drier air in place behind yesterday’s cold front, today will be dry and pleasant.

Expect high temperatures to remain below average for this time of year, ranging from the mid-70s near the coast to the mid-80s inland. If you’re heading to the beach, keep in mind that a sea breeze will likely develop later today, bringing east-southeast winds around 10 knots to coastal terminals like ORF, ECG, and potentially PHF.

Additionally, a High Rip Current Risk is in effect for southern beaches today, with a moderate risk for northern beaches. Combined with elevated seas of 4–5 feet, ocean Small Craft Advisories (SCAs) remain in place through this evening.

Tonight & Monday: Clouds Return and a Cold Front Moves In

Clouds will increase tonight, making for a milder night with lows in the upper 50s inland and the lower 60s along the coast. Winds will shift south-southwest overnight, increasing to around 15 knots, which could bring a few 20-knot gusts to the Chesapeake Bay.

The Coastline: Minor Tidal Flooding Potential

As winds turn tonight, keep an eye out for nuisance to low-end minor tidal flooding in the upper bay and the bayside of the Maryland Eastern Shore—particularly around Bishop’s Head, Cambridge, and Crisfield.

Monday’s Weather Transition

There could be a few light showers toward daybreak on Monday as a potent northern stream trough and cold front dive out of Eastern Canada.

As the front crosses from north to south, Monday’s temperatures will reach the upper 70s near the coast and the lower 80s inland.

Here is what to expect from Monday’s weather system:

• Rain and Storms: The highest chance of showers and a few storms will be across the southern half of the area, particularly in Southeast Virginia and Northeast North Carolina.

• Rainfall Amounts: Heavy rain is not expected. Rainfall totals will reach up to 0.25–0.50 inches along the Albemarle Sound, sharply tapering down to 0.10 inches or less across most of Virginia.

• Travel and Aviation: VFR conditions will generally prevail, though southeastern flight terminals could see brief restrictions.

Mid-Week Outlook: Cooler Temperatures and Marine Alerts

By Tuesday, a low-pressure system is expected to form off the Georgia and South Carolina coast, eventually dropping south and potentially becoming cut off by Wednesday off the Carolina coast.

What this means for our weather: Temperatures will likely remain below average on Tuesday and Wednesday, with highs staying coolly in the 70s.

Marine & Flooding Outlook (Tuesday – Wednesday)

• Winds & Seas: A period of elevated northeast winds (around 20 knots) will kick up late Monday night and persist through Wednesday.

• Tidal Flooding: These prolonged northeast winds mean nuisance to low-end minor tidal flooding appears likely across a decent portion of the area mid-week.

• Uncertainty: The exact severity of the coastal flooding and marine conditions depends heavily on how close the offshore low-pressure system tracks to the coast.

Looking Ahead: A Late-Week Rebound

If you are already looking forward to warmer days, hang tight. A gradual rise in temperatures is likely by the second half of the week. As heights rise over the eastern United States, temperatures should rebound to seasonal averages, and potentially even above average, by Thursday and Friday.

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As always, keep an eye on the sky and stay safe out there! 👋