2026-11-05
ANear 80 Wednesday, Then the Rain Finally Arrives Thursday Night (Nov 3 Brief)
Called 79° and Dry; got 77.5° and 0.00".
RVA Weather Network
Forecast Check
Every forecast we publish gets checked — and graded. The next morning, each forecast day is scored A through F against what actually happened, using the rubric below, and the grade is posted here whether it was an A or an F. When we bust — and every forecaster busts — the miss gets a full entry too: what we said, what happened, and why, in plain English. Nothing gets quietly edited. Nothing gets deleted.
Forecast Scorecard
Grades are posted a day or two after the forecast, once the day's weather is in the books.
A — Nailed it: high within 3°, rain call right, headline right.
B — Close: high off 4–5°, or the rain call one notch off.
C — Off: high off 6–9°, or the rain call two notches off.
D — A bust on one element.
F — A bust across the board.
Last 10 forecast days: 1 A
Bust Log — every miss, explained
The log is open
The log starts now — no entries yet. The first bust we make under this system gets posted here, like every one after it.